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      Heading for (Another) Ukraine-Russia Gas Fight?

      Commentary / September 3, 2019

      Twice in the past 14 years, a dispute between Ukraine and Russia has led Russia to cut off natural gas flows to Ukraine and Europe. The stage is being set for another cut-off in January. The European Union wants to ensure that gas continues to flow, so EU officials will attempt at a mid-September meeting to broker an agreement. But they face a difficult slog.

      THE LOOMING CONFLICT

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      Advice for President Zelenskyy as he Prepares to Meet President Trump

      Commentary / August 29, 2019

      President Volodymyr Zelenskyy may meet President Donald Trump this weekend in Warsaw and is expected to travel to the United States later in the fall.  This gives Mr. Zelenskyy the opportunity to reinforce Kyiv’s relationship with the United States.  It also offers the opportunity to try to establish a connection to Mr. Trump, something that has proven elusive for most foreign leaders.  Here are a few suggestions for Mr. Zelenskyy on dealing with the American president.

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      Observations from a Defense Study Trip to Lithuania

      Commentary / June 27, 2019

      Significant progress has been made in improving the defense situation in the Baltic states since 2014, but NATO can take some relatively modest steps to further enhance its deterrence and defense posture in the region, according to a report by Michael O’Hanlon and Christopher Skaluba, which was based on an Atlantic Council study visit to Lithuania.

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      Stop the Low-Yield Trident Nuclear Warhead

      Commentary / June 11, 2019

      On Tuesday [June 4], the House Subcommittee on Strategic Forces debated the draft Fiscal Year 2020 National Defense Authorization Act.

      It voted out, on party lines, language that prohibits deployment of a low-yield warhead on the Trident D5 submarine-launched ballistic missile.  That makes sense:  The rationale for the warhead is dubious, and the weapon likely would never be selected for use.

      Read the rest at The Hill

       

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      NATO’s Ukraine Challenge

      Commentary / June 6, 2019

      Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy visited Brussels on June 4 and 5, where he met with the leadership of the European Union and NATO. He reaffirmed Kyiv’s goal of integrating into both institutions—goals enshrined earlier this year as strategic objectives in Ukraine’s constitution.

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      Five key things to know about Ukraine’s presidential election

      Commentary / April 15, 2019

      Ukraine is halfway through a presidential election: The first round took place on March 31, and the run-off is coming up on April 21. At the annual Kyiv Security Forum and in other conversations in Kyiv last week, I had the opportunity to catch up on the latest developments in Ukraine, and came away with five key observations.

      UKRAINE AGAIN SCORES A DEMOCRATIC ELECTION

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      10 years after Obama’s nuclear-free vision, the US and Russia head in the opposite direction

      Commentary / April 4, 2019

      April 5 marks the 10th anniversary of the speech in which Barack Obama laid out his vision for a world without nuclear weapons. It did not gain traction. Instead, the United States and Russia are developing new nuclear capabilities, while the nuclear arms control regime is on course to expire in 2021. The result will be a world that is less stable, less secure, and less predictable.

      A WORTHWHILE VISION

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      Five years after Crimea’s illegal annexation, the issue is no closer to resolution

      Commentary / March 18, 2019

      March 18 marks the fifth anniversary of Russia’s illegal annexation of Crimea, which capped the most blatant land grab in Europe since World War II. While the simmering conflict in Donbas now dominates the headlines, it is possible to see a path to resolution there. It is much more difficult with Crimea, which will remain a problem between Kyiv and Moscow, and between the West and Russia, for years—if not decades—to come.

      THE TAKING OF CRIMEA

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      Extending New START is a no-brainer—And yet, we can’t count on it

      Commentary / February 20, 2019

      The Trump administration has finished off the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, a treaty mortally wounded by Russia’s deployment of a banned intermediate-range missile. That leaves the 2010 New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) as the sole agreement limiting U.S. and Russian nuclear forces.

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      The blame game begins over the INF Treaty’s demise, and Washington is losing

      Commentary / January 25, 2019

      In December, Secretary of State Pompeo said Russia had 60 days to come back into compliance with the Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty. Otherwise, the United States would suspend its treaty obligations.

      The clock runs out on February 2. Unfortunately, U.S. and Russian officials, already anticipating the treaty’s demise, have turned to finger-pointing…and Washington is losing the blame game.

      CHARGES OF TREATY VIOLATIONS

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      Ukraine, nuclear weapons and the trilateral statement 25 years later

      Commentary / January 14, 2019

      Today, January 14, marks the 25th anniversary of the Trilateral Statement.  Signed in Moscow by President Bill Clinton, Russian President Boris Yeltsin and Ukrainian President Leonid Kravchuk, the statement set out the terms under which Ukraine agreed to eliminate the large arsenal of former Soviet strategic nuclear weapons that remained on its territory following the collapse of the Soviet Union.

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      Is there a glimmer of hope for the INF treaty?

      Commentary / January 7, 2019

      On December 21, the United Nations General Assembly voted down a Russian-proposed resolution calling for support for the INF Treaty. That Moscow gambit failed, in large part because Russia is violating the treaty by deploying prohibited missiles.

      This bit of diplomatic show came one week after Russian officials said they would like to discuss INF Treaty compliance concerns. That could be—not is, but could be—significant. Washington should test whether those suggestions represent just more Kremlin posturing or a serious effort to save the treaty.

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      Timothy Josling dies at age 78

      News / December 10, 2018

      Timothy Josling, a professor emeritus at the former Food Research Institute and an affiliate of The Europe Center known for his encyclopedic knowledge of international agricultural policy, died on Nov. 27.

      Timothy Josling, a Stanford professor emeritus of agricultural economics, died at his home in Davis, California, on Nov. 27 after a two-year battle with cancer. He was 78.

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      Three new center directors look to the future at FSI

      News / October 2, 2018

      FSI's three new center directors, Anna Grzymala-Busse, Colin Kahl, and David Lobell, outline their vision.

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      Steven Pifer, new CISAC and TEC fellow, to focus on international security

      News / September 5, 2018

      Ambassador Steven Pifer, BA ’76, a top expert in U.S.-European relations, arms control and security issues and retired State Department Foreign Service officer, has been named to a new senior position at Stanford University.

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      Anna Grzymala-Busse Appointed New Director of The Europe Center

      News / May 23, 2018

      The Europe Center is pleased to announce that Professor Anna Grzymala-Busse will assume its directorship on September 1, 2018. Founded in 1997 and jointly sponsored by the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) and Stanford Global Studies (SGS), The Europe Center (TEC) provides an interdisciplinary platform for collaboration among scholars who teach and conduct research on the histories, cultures, institutions, and people of Europe. Grzymala-Busse will succeed Kenneth Scheve, a senior fellow at FSI and professor of political science, who has led the center since 2013.

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      Featured Faculty Research: Dan Edelstein

      News / January 10, 2018

      Dan EdelsteinDan Edelstein earned his PhD from the University of Pennsylvania and came to Stanford in 2004. He is William H.

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      Americans have different ideas about what makes taxes ‘fair.’ But the GOP bill has something all sides oppose.

      Commentary / December 21, 2017

      In the New York Post article written by Ken Scheve and David Stasavage, the co-authors of Taxing the Rich: A History of Fiscal Fairness in the United States and Europe, the real motivation behind opposition to the GOP tax bill is examined in light of their research. 

      To read the full article, please visit the Washington Post (Monkey Cage) webpage.

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      Stanford study examines political reckoning of authoritarians in the face of crises

      News / December 18, 2017

      In the years since World War II, as the global geopolitical map was drawn and redrawn along ideological lines, the world witnessed ascension of many authoritarians. They often ruled for long stretches, but eventually most faced a political reckoning. The people they governed no longer accepted their authority and demanded change.

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      New Stanford research explores immigrants’ decision to return to Europe during historical Age of Mass Migration

      News / September 12, 2017

      Image of Ran AbramitzkyToday’s conversation about immigration and the role of immigrants in America is not so different from the conversations that took place more than 100 years ago, when European immigrants settled in cities and on farms in the United States.

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      Macron, Brexit and the Future of European Politics

      News / July 13, 2017

       

      Patrick Chamorel, senior resident scholar at the Stanford Center in Washington DC, weighs in on the geopolitical impact of the French and UK elections in a Scholars' Circle interview.  Joining the discussion are Jeroen Dewulf, associate professor of German at UC Berkeley and Mark Amsler, associate professor of European Languages and Literature at the University of Auckland. 

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