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Jonathan Rodden
Journal Articles

Who Is My Neighbor? The Spatial Efficiency of Partisanship

Nicholas Eubank, Jonathan Rodden
Statistics and Public Policy, 2020 September 28, 2020
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Journal Articles

Handgun Ownership and Suicide in California

David M. Studdert, Yifan Zhang, Sonja A. Swanson, Lea Prince, Jonathan Rodden, Erin E. Holsinger, Matthew J. Spittal, Garen J. Wintemute, Matthew Miller
The New England Journal of Medicine, 2020 June 4, 2020

Research has consistently identified firearm availability as a risk factor for suicide. However, existing studies are relatively small in scale, estimates vary widely, and no study appears to have tracked risks from commencement of firearm ownership.

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Journal Articles

Assembly of the LongSHOT cohort: public record linkage on a grand scale

Yifan Zhang, Erin E Holsinger, Lea Prince, Jonathan Rodden, Sonja A Swanson, Matthew M Miller, Garen J Wintemute, David M Studdert
Injury Prevention, 2019 September 21, 2019

Background Virtually all existing evidence linking access to firearms to elevated risks of mortality and morbidity comes from ecological and case–control studies. To improve understanding of the health risks and benefits of firearm ownership, we launched a cohort study: the Longitudinal Study of Handgun Ownership and Transfer (LongSHOT).

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Books

Why Cities Lose: The Deep Roots of the Urban-Rural Political Divide

Jonathan Rodden
Basic Books, 2019 June 4, 2019

Why is it so much easier for the Democratic Party to win the national popular vote than to build and maintain a majority in Congress? Why can Democrats sweep statewide offices in places like Pennsylvania and Michigan yet fail to take control of the same states' legislatures? Many place exclusive blame on partisan gerrymandering and voter suppression. But as political scientist Jonathan A. Rodden demonstrates in Why Cities Lose, the left's electoral challenges have deeper roots in economic and political geography.

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Journal Articles

Geography, Uncertainty, and Polarization

Nolan McCarty, Jonathan Rodden, Boris Shor, Chris Tausanovitch, Christopher Warshaw
Political Science Research and Methods, 2018 March 21, 2018

Using new data on roll-call voting of US state legislators and public opinion in their districts, we explain how ideological polarization of voters within districts can lead to legislative polarization. In so-called “moderate” districts that switch hands between parties, legislative behavior is shaped by the fact that voters are often quite heterogeneous: the ideological distance between Democrats and Republicans within these districts is often greater than the distance between liberal cities and conservative rural areas.

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Journal Articles

Handgun Acquisitions in California After Two Mass Shootings

David M. Studdert, Yifan Zhang, Jonathan Rodden, Rob J. Hyndman, Garen J. Wintemute
Annals of Internal Medicine , 2017 June 15, 2017
Mass shootings are common in the United States. They are the most visible form of firearm violence. Their effect on personal decisions to purchase firearms is not well understood. In the 6 weeks after the Newtown and San Bernardino shootings, there were 25 705 (95% prediction interval, 17 411 to 32 788) and 27 413 (prediction interval, 15 188 to 37 734) excess acquisitions, respectively, representing increases of 53% (95% CI, 30% to 80%) and 41% (CI, 19% to 68%) over expected volume.
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Commentary

‘Red’ America is an illusion. Postindustrial towns go for Democrats.

Jonathan Rodden
The Washington Post, 2017 February 14, 2017

Media professionals and intellectuals in the large coastal cities have long struggled to understand the white, non-metropolitan counties in the middle of the country. Just as Christians often fail to understand the diversity of the faraway Islamic world, American coastal elites have come to see the non-metro sections of the heartland as an undifferentiated mass of white, evangelical Republicans. This is far from the reality.

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Commentary

This is why Democrats lose in ‘rural’ postindustrial America

Jonathan Rodden
The Washington Post, 2017 February 14, 2017

In my earlier post I suggested that voters in rural areas and small industrial towns are often two rather distinct demographic groups that should not be conflated. Yes, Democratic candidates lost votes in both postindustrial towns and their surrounding rural environs. But their losses were especially dramatic in the latter, while they still have pockets of support in the former. In larger towns with an industrial history or a university (or both), Democrats still win majorities.

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Books

Geography and Gridlock in the United States

Jonathan Rodden
Solutions to Political Polarization in America, edited by Nathaniel Persily, 2015 April 27, 2015

"Geography and Gridlock in the United States" is chapter 7 of the book Solutions to Political Polarization in America, edited by Nathaniel Persily and published by the Cambridge University Press.

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