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Torun Dewan is a political scientist at the London School of Economics. His main research is in political economy and in the formal and empirical analysis of decision making in political parties, legislatures and executives. Amongst other issues he has looked at how cabinets structure the incentives of ministers, how leadership acts as a coordinating focal point, how political parties aggregate dispersed information, and how elections provide incentives for policy experimentation.

 

This seminar is part of the Comparative Politics Workshop in the Department of Political Science and is co-sponsored by The Europe Center.

Torun Dewan London School of Economics
Workshops
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The Italian civil war and the Nazi occupation of Italy occurred at a critical juncture, just before the birth of a new democracy and when, for the first time in a generation, Italians were choosing political affiliations and forming political identities. In this paper we study how these traumatic events shaped the new political system. We exploit geographic heterogeneity in the intensity and duration of the civil war, and the persistence of the battlefront along the “Gothic line” cutting through Northern-Central Italy. We find that the Communist Party gained votes in the post-war elections where the Nazi occupation and the civil war lasted longer, mainly at the expense of the centrist and catholic parties. This effect persists until the early 1990s. Evidence also suggests that this is due to an effect on political attitudes. Thus, the foreign occupation and the civil war left a lasting legacy of political extremism and polarization on the newborn Italian democracy.

Guido Tabellini is the Intesa Sanpaolo Chair in Political Economics at Universita' Bocconi.

This seminar is part of the Comparative Politics Workshop in the Department of Political Science and is co-sponsored by The Europe Center.

Guido Tabellini Bocconi University
Seminars

Celebrated international artist Ori Gersht will be delivering a lecture entitled "Optical Unconsciousness" with an introduction by Alexander Nemerov (Department Chair & Carl and Marilynn Thoma Provostial Professor in the Arts and Humanities; Stanford University). A public Q & A will follow. For more information, please visit The Contemporary.

Free and open to the public. 

 

Gersht's visit is generously co-sponsored by Kim Allen and Alex Cohen, in honor of the marriage of Karen Underhill and Richard Meller; The Taube Center for Jewish Studies; The Department of Art and Art History; The Division of Literatures, Cultures, and Languages; The Europe Center; and The Contemporary.

Ori Gersht International Artist Speaker
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We present a game-theoretical analysis of Commission appointment in the European Union. In the model, the European Parliament and the member states look ahead and consider the outcomes that result from the appointment of alternative Commissions. In contrast to earlier work, we assume the European Parliament and the member states have incomplete information on the consequences of policies, whereas the Commission acquires private information. We find that the increased use of codecision gives the Council an incentive to appoint a Commission that is closer to the European Parliament, because the European Parliament then trusts the Commission more and the Commission is more informative as a result. Thus, we shed new light on the Spitzenkandidaten Coup that preceded the appointment of the Juncker Commission.

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Christophe Crombez
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The Ambassador's remarks will address:

  • U.S. military deployments
  • Poland’s regional and global relations with the European Union, NATO and the United States 
  •  Poland’s current domestic situation

 

Paul Jones was confirmed by the United States Senate as U.S. Ambassador to the Republic of Poland on August 5, 2015, and sworn in by Secretary Kerry on September 11, 2015.

Amb. Jones has a wide-ranging background in Europe. As Principal Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for European and Eurasian Affairs from 2013-15, he was responsible for all aspects of U.S. policy and operations in Europe, particularly Russia and Ukraine. He was also Deputy Chief of Mission at the U.S. Mission to the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE), and at the U.S. Embassy in Skopje, Republic of Macedonia (1996-99).

Ambassador Jones’ service in Asia and South Asia has complemented his European focus. As U.S. Ambassador to Malaysia, 2010-13, he led significant growth in the U.S.-Malaysian relationship, becoming the first U.S. Ambassador to be conferred the honorary title of Dato’. Ambassador Jones is a career member of the State Department’s Senior Foreign Service. His awards include the Presidential Meritorious Service Award, the Robert C. Frasure Memorial Award for peace building, and several Superior Honor Awards.

 
Paul W. Jones US Ambassador to Poland Speaker US Embassy in Poland
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Professor Walter Scheidel examines the history of peace and economic inequality over the past 10,000 years.

 

What price do we pay for civilization? For Walter Scheidel, a professor of history and classics at Stanford, civilization has come at the cost of glaring economic inequality since the Stone Age. The sole exception, in his account, is widespread violence – wars, pandemics, civil unrest; only violent shocks like these have substantially reduced inequality over the millennia.

“It is almost universally true that violence has been necessary to ensure the redistribution of wealth at any point in time,” said Scheidel, summarizing the thesis of The Great Leveler: Violence and the History of Inequality from the Stone Age to the Twenty-First Century, his newly published book.

Surveying long stretches of human history, Scheidel said that “the big equalizing moments in history may not have always had the same cause, but they shared one common root: massive and violent disruptions of the established order.”

This idea is connected to Thomas Piketty’s Capital in the Twenty-First Century (2013), a New York Times bestseller Scheidel admires. Piketty found that “inequality does not go down by itself because we have economic development,” Scheidel said. “His book covers only 200 years and argues that only violent intervention can make that happen.”

But Scheidel, who has taught a freshman seminar on long-term inequality, wanted to know if this insight can be applied to all of history. He enlisted the help of Andrew Granato, a senior majoring in economics, to compile a bibliography of more than 1,000 titles. The result is a sweeping narrative about the link between inequality and peace that harkens back to the beginning of human civilization.

Formulating such a narrative is no simple task. The Great Leveler primarily relies on the published works of other historians – a challenge, in Scheidel’s view, of trying “to synthesize highly fragmented and specialized scholarship and create a single narrative.”

As an expert on ancient Rome, however, Scheidel is well aware that pre-modern sources are limited and some are invalid. His familiarity with scant ancient sources prepared him to grapple with an abundance of more reliable modern records.

“Looking at the distant past would have been more difficult for a modernist economist or historian,” said Scheidel, for whom it is “generally easier to deal with modern evidence because it is more familiar and thoroughly studied.”

A grim view

Scheidel acknowledges his pessimism about resolving inequality. “Reversing the trend toward greater concentrations of income, in the United States and across the world, might be, in fact, nearly impossible,” he said.

Among the wide variety of catastrophes that level societies, Scheidel identifies what he calls “four horsemen”: mass mobilization or state warfare, transformative revolution, state collapse and plague.

A textbook example of mass mobilization is World War II, a conflict that embroiled many developed countries and, key for Scheidel, “uniformly hugely reduced inequality.” As with Europe and Japan, he said, “in the U.S. there were massive tax increases, state intervention in the economy to support the war effort and increase output, which triggered a redistribution of resources, benefiting workers and harming the interests of the top 1 percent.”

Another “horseman” was the outbreak of the bubonic plague in 14th-century Eurasia. While war wreaks havoc on everything, a pandemic of this magnitude “kills a third of the population, but does not damage the physical infrastructure,” Scheidel said. “As a result, labor becomes scarce, wages grow and the gap between the rich and the poor narrows.”

But inequality ratcheted up the moment the plague subsided and the population began to increase. Soon, large swaths of society would see their benefits erased – a loss that in Scheidel’s account would be briefly reversed after the two world wars in the 20th century.

State collapse has also been crucial in the history of inequality. “The rich are beneficiaries of the state,” Scheidel said, adding that “if states fall apart, everybody is worse off; but the rich have more to lose. Their wealth is wiped out by the destruction of the state, such as in the fall of the Mayan civilization or Chinese dynasties.”

Is change possible?

As for whether reducing inequality will ever be possible in peacetime, Scheidel simply said, “History does not determine the future. Things can change, but change is slow.”

“Business as usual may not be enough,” he said. “We have to think harder about how to bring change in today’s world.”

A peaceful remedy to economic inequality may start with what Scheidel calls “an understanding of historical context, because simply electing the right politicians who promise that everything will be OK is a short-term view.”

For the longer term, Scheidel said, “I am not advocating war, but repeating the same old ideas ignores the lessons of history. Something truly innovative and original may have to happen in order to create lasting change.”

 

Media Contacts

Chris Kark, Director of Humanities Communications: (650) 724-8156, ckark@stanford.edu

 

This article was originally published in the Stanford Report on January 24, 2017.
For more information about this book, visit Princeton University Press.

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Widespread violence and disease have been the most successful factors in reducing economic inequality over thousands of years, according to Stanford Professor Walter Scheidel. | Gremlin / Getty Images
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Event Recap: The European Crises, Andrew Moravcsik (Princeton University)

 

The Europe Center kicked off its winter quarter talks by continuing its series on the European Union. Andrew Moravcsik, Professor of Politics and International Affairs at Princeton University’s Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs and Director of the European Union Program at Princeton, spoke on the topic of "The European Crises."

Andrew MoravcsikIn his talk, Moravcsik spoke about the four major crises currently facing the European Union and argued that these crises present less cause for concern than current discourse would suggest. The first crisis is Europe's purported decline in geopolitical power, particularly vis-à-vis China. Contrary to these claims, however, Moravcsik presented evidence indicating that the European Union outstrips China on various measures, including military spending, the number of combat and non-combat forces deployed abroad, number of aircraft carriers, number of allies, relative economic power, civilian foreign economic assistance, and its effective use of non-military intervention. The second crisis is one of Euroscepticism, as exemplified by Brexit. Moravcsik noted that the current British negotiating position largely reflects the status quo. Moreover, he is skeptical that the there will be a domino effect. Specifically, mainstream political parties are unlikely to call for a referendum on the EU, particularly given the results of the British vote, and that the anti-EU parties, even at their most successful, gain too little national political power to successfully hold a referendum. Migration constitutes the third crisis, and Moravcsik argues that this crisis is as serious as it is being portrayed. However, this crisis is unlikely to undermine the entire European project, as there is a clear and effective political solution - closing the border using fences, criminal law, and repatriation agreements. The final crisis is the lack of economic growth. Again, this crisis is exaggerated as both the EU-28 and the Eurozone have had higher per capita growth over the past decade than has the U.S. or Japan. However, that growth has been uneven across the EU member states and has been either stagnant or negative in countries such as Portugal and Greece. Moravcsik's ultimate take away was that in order to undo the European Union, a crisis must be serious and lacking a clear policy solution, and none of the four crises currently facing the EU meet both of these criteria.


Featured Faculty Research: Vincent Barletta

We would like to introduce you to some of The Europe Center’s faculty affiliates and the projects on which they are working. Our featured faculty member this month is Vincent Barletta. Vincent is an Associate Professor of Comparative Literature and of Iberian and Latin American Cultures. He earned his Ph.D. from the University of California, Los Angeles in 1998 and joined the faculty at Stanford in 2007.

Vincent's research and teaching focus on medieval and early modern Iberian literatures; Portuguese literature, empire and humanism; Islam and Aljamiado literature; comparative literature; literature and linguistic anthropology; and literature and philosophy. In a recent article, Vincent examines the translation practices of sixteenth-century Ibero-Muslims. As Christian kingdoms expanded into the Muslim territories of the Iberian Peninsula throughout the first half of the second millennium, so the dominant jurisprudence shifted from Islamic law to Christian law. This process culminated in the early sixteenth century, when non-Christians were forced to convert to Christianity. Vincent examines the ways in which clandestine Muslim communities during this period translated and adapted juridical Islamic texts. He argues that the translations themselves and the structure of the texts reflect an interest in "closeness." In order to explicate his arguments, he presents analysis of Abū al-Ḥassan cAli ibn cIsa al-Ṭulayṭulī’s Mukhtaṣar (Compendium), which is a tenth-century guidebook to obligatory religious devotions.

Barletta, Vincent. 2016. "Closeness Before the Law: Purity, Prayer, and al-Tulaytilī's Mukhtasa." Journal of Spanish Cultural Studies 17(3):271-284.


Featured Graduate Student Research: Justin Tackett

We would like to introduce you to some of the graduate students that we support and the projects on which they are working. Our featured graduate student this month is Justin Tackett (English). Justin is a Ph.D. candidate in the Department of English at Stanford University.

Justin TackettIn his research, Justin is interested in 19th and 20th century British and American literature, with a focus on sound studies, poetics, Victorianism, transatlantic modernism, periodicals, technology, and urbanization. In his dissertation Justin examines sound technology and poetry in Britain and America from 1816 to 1914. In one of his dissertation chapters, Justin focuses on the work of the little-known Irish poet, James Henry. Supported by The Europe Center, Justin traveled to Dublin in October 2016 in order to examine the only known repository of Henry's manuscripts, which is housed in the Trinity College archives. In addition to his work in the archives, Justin was able to meet with Emeritus Professor John Richmond, now in his nineties and housebound, who wrote the first Henry biography in 1976. His book is now extremely rare and prohibitively expensive, but he generously gave Justin a copy, which will be of great value for his continuing research. In addition to his work towards the chapter on Henry, Justin was able to advance the research for various other chapters of his dissertation by meeting with other scholars and visiting sites of historical importance. Justin plans to return to Trinity in order to finish cataloging Henry's papers.

Please visit our website for more information about our Graduate Student Grant program.

Call for Applications: The Europe Center's Undergraduate Internship Program

Application Deadline: February 7, 2017

A key priority of The Europe Center is to provide Stanford’s undergraduate student community with opportunities to develop a deep understanding of contemporary European society and affairs. By promoting knowledge about the opportunities and challenges facing one of the world’s most economically and politically integrated regions, the Center strives to equip our future leaders with the tools necessary to tackle complex problems related to governance, geopolitics, and economic interdependence both in Europe and in the world more broadly.

In order to facilitate this goal, The Europe Center is sponsoring undergraduate internships to be completed in summer 2017. Sponsored internships are available with the following entities:

  • The Alliance of Liberals and Democrats for Europe (ALDE) Brussels, Belgium
    ALDE is a transnational political party comprised of national political parties represented in the European Parliament.
    Positions Available: 2
    Program Dates: June 12, 2017 to July 21, 2017
  • Bruegel Brussels, Belgium
    Bruegel is a think-tank devoted to policy research on international economic issues.
    Positions Available: 3
    Program Dates: July 31, 2017 to September 8, 2017
  • Carnegie Europe Brussels, Belgium
    Carnegie Europe is an independent policy research center providing foreign policy analysis and policy recommendations on the strategic issues facing Europe and its role in the world.
    Positions Available: 1
    Program Dates: 9 consecutive weeks, with some flexibility to adjust this to work with the intern's summer schedule, between June 19, 2017 and September 15, 2017 (start and end dates to be determined by the host and the student)
  • The Centre for European Policy Studies (CEPS) Brussels, Belgium
    CEPS is a policy think-tank providing research and activities on economic and international policy matters.
    Positions Available: 1
    Program Dates: 6 consecutive weeks between June 19, 2017 and September 15, 2017 (start and end dates to be determined by the host and the student)

We invite applications from Stanford University undergraduate students interested in these exciting opportunities. For more information on The Europe Center's Undergraduate Internship Program, please visit our website.


Visiting Scholar: Dirk Rupnow

The Europe Center is pleased to welcome Dirk Rupnow to Stanford as the 2016-2017 Distinguished Visiting Austrian Chair Professor. Dirk is a Professor of Contemporary History, Head of the Institute for Contemporary History, and Founding Coordinator of the Center for Migration and Globalization at the University of Innsbruck.

Dirk RupnowDirk is a historian who is interested in 20th century European history, Holocaust and Jewish studies, cultures and politics of memory, and intellectual and migration history. His current research focuses on developing an inclusive narrative of post-war Austrian history, one that reflects the current plurality and diversity of Austrian society. In order to do so, Dirk will be working primarily on two projects during his time at The Europe Center. In the first project, he is examining the so-called "guest worker“ migration to Austria during the 1960s and 1970s. Because labor migration was viewed as temporary, it somehow remained a blank spot in narratives of post-war Austrian history. But in fact, it has had a lasting effect on Austrian society. The migrants remain nonetheless invisible and have no voice in the discourse on the national history. Dirk seeks to uncover greater information and new sources in order to provide a more complete and multiperspective portrayal of contemporary Austrian history as both a European and global transnational history. In the second project, Dirk seeks to understand how museums can be used to present an inclusive historical narrative to the public. He will lead a group of Austrian museum curators and museologists on a tour of the historical museums in Washington, D.C. - including the National Museum of the American Indian and the National Museum of African American History and Culture - in order to observe how the U.S. presents the history of both minority and marginalized groups. As a member of the Advisory Board for the planned House of Austrian History in Vienna, Dirk intends for this work to facilitate a compelling and inclusive presentation of Austrian history. Please join us in welcoming Dirk to Stanford.


The Europe Center Sponsored Events

January 31, 2017 
12:00PM - 1:30PM 
Lukas Schmid, University of Lucerne 
Human Barriers to International Trade
CISAC Central Conference Room, Encina Hall, 2nd Floor
RSVP by 5:00PM January 27, 2017.

February 2, 2017 
12:00PM - 1:30PM 
Amie Kreppel, University of Florida 
The Political and Institutional Effects of Brexit 
CISAC Central Conference Room, Encina Hall, 2nd Floor
RSVP by 5:00PM January 30, 2017.

February 9, 2017 
12:00PM - 1:30PM 
Walter Scheidel, Stanford University 
Book Talk: The Great Leveler
CISAC Central Conference Room, Encina Hall, 2nd Floor 
RSVP by 5:00PM February 6, 2017.

February 16, 2017 
12:00PM - 1:30PM 
Norman Naimark, Stanford University 
Book Talk: Genocide: A World History
Oksenberg Conference Room, Encina Hall, 3rd Floor 
RSVP by 5:00PM February 13, 2017.

Save the Date: March 3, 2017 
4:00PM - 5:30PM 
Valéry Giscard d'Estaing, Former President of the French Republic (1974 - 1981)
This event is sponsored by the France-Stanford Center and co-sponsored by The Europe Center.

Save the Date: April 3, 2017 
11:30AM - 1:00PM 
Guido Tabellini, Bocconi University
Room 400 (Graham Stuart Lounge), Encina Hall West 
No RSVP required. 
This seminar is part of the Comparative Politics Workshop in the Department of Political Science and is co-sponsored by The Europe Center.

April 11, 2017 
12:00PM - 1:30PM 
Philippe Van Parijs, University of Louvain
Europe's Destiny: A View from Brussels 
CISAC Central Conference Room, Encina Hall, 2nd Floor 
RSVP by 5:00PM April 7, 2017.

Save the Date: April 24, 2017 
11:30AM - 1:00PM 
Torun Dewan, London School of Economics
Room 400 (Graham Stuart Lounge), Encina Hall West 
No RSVP required. 
This seminar is part of the Comparative Politics Workshop in the Department of Political Science and is co-sponsored by The Europe Center.

Save the Date: June 5, 2017 
11:30AM - 1:00PM 
Daniel Stegmuller, University of Mannheim
Room 400 (Graham Stuart Lounge), Encina Hall West 
No RSVP required. 
This seminar is part of the Comparative Politics Workshop in the Department of Political Science and is co-sponsored by The Europe Center.

European Security Initiative Events

January 26, 2017 
12:00PM - 1:15PM 
Andrei Kozyrev, Former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Russian Federation
The Future of U.S.-Russian Relations
Bechtel Conference Center, Encina Hall
RSVP by 5:00PM January 20, 2017.

Save the Date: January 30, 2017 
12:00PM - 1:15PM 
Marie Mendras, Sciences Po and National Center for Scientific Research (CNRS)
Reuben Hills Conference Room, Encina Hall, 2nd Floor 
RSVP by 5:00PM January 25, 2017.

Save the Date: April 10, 2017 
Time TBA 
Ivan Krastev, Center for Liberal Strategies, Sofia, Bulgaria


We welcome you to visit our website for additional details.

 

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This article seeks to look broadly at Second World War violence through the lens of gender; to shift the focus from attacks on ethno-national groups to the ways that women were targeted within and across ethno-national lines. It asks why the occupiers and inhabitants of Eastern Europe unleashed such tremendous brutality against females in the region, civilians who, according to the Hague Conventions and moral norms, were supposed to be shielded from the ravages of war. Given the enormity of the topic of the violence women suffered during the war and its immediate aftermath, I focus on Poland and the western part of the Soviet Union, the epicenter of wartime brutality. This territory suffered alternating occupations by the Nazis and Soviets, with broad swaths changing overlords three times. The article is organized by stages of the war, each of which bore a distinct character of violence. The focus on gender-based violence by no means assumes that women were only victims during the war. They exercised varying degrees of agency, as fighters, perpetrators, resisters, collaborators, and simply as individuals trying to survive — experiences that space will not allow in this article.
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Katherine Jolluck
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What determines risk-bearing capacity and the amount of leverage in financial markets? Using unique archival data on collateralized lending, we show that personal experience can affect individual risk-taking and aggregate leverage. When an investor syndicate speculating in Amsterdam in 1772 went bankrupt, many lenders were exposed. In the end, none of them actually lost money. Nonetheless, only those at risk of losing money changed their behavior markedly; they lent with much higher haircuts. The rest continued largely as before. The differential change is remarkable since the distress was public knowledge. Overall leverage in the Amsterdam stock market declined as a result.
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American Economic Review
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Peter Koudijs
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